COVID-19 U.S. Fatalities – June 2020 Update

With riots on the streets & states returning back to normal it seems likely the spread of COVID-19 will ramp up… Based on simulations, it now appears the most likely scenario is: Around 3 million dead by March 2021 1.5+ million dead by the fall – if people keep gathering 25% unemployment by 2021 15% […]

Thoughts in April 2020

If a species has a critical contraction and survives, it likely required strategic planning – American Bison’s population dropped to 300 – 600 heads in the 1880’s-1910’s. They were essentially brought back from extinction and there are somewhere between 200,000 and 2 million American Bison today [1]. Given the way natural selection works (and the […]

COVID-19 U.S. Fatalities & Economic Predictions

On March 21, 2020, I wrote an article discussing how COVID-19 could impact the economy. Throughout that article I made a prediction that we will see one million fatalities in the U.S. by 2021 from COVID-19. Today, we have more information than on March 21st, so I’m going to update the prediction. At a high […]