US & COVID19, Winter is Coming

In August, I made the prediction that it’s likely we’ll see 250,000 dead officially by October 14 and the unofficially death count closer to 500,000 to 800,000 from COVID-19. According to official data, my prediction was inaccurate, being closer to the lower bound of my simulation(s). The CDC currently (October 28, 2020) are now 226,000. […]

Firearms by The Numbers

Firearms (guns) are one of the hot button issues in the United States and globally. I’m sure it is understandable why — pull the trigger and something dies. Killing is the primary purpose of a firearm. Naturally, this leads many to be fearful of firearms, but should people be fearful? When I started writing this, […]

U.S. & COVID19 – Less Tests, More Deaths, No End in Sight

In June, I made the prediction that it’s likely we’ll see hundreds of thousands dead by July from COVID-19. According to official data, my prediction was not entirely accurate, being closer to the lower bound of my simulation(s) (a hundred thousand). Today, we have more information about the virus and importantly improved data on death […]