At the beginning of 2020, I wrote a series of predictions for 2030.
There was only one prediction for 2021 and that was the following:
Iraq will essentially become a client state of Iran (2021)
While that did not occur, they have began a joint rail way system and Iraq’s last elections were challenged by the Iranian faction within the country. I strongly suspect we’re still closing in on this event within the next three years; particularly, with the Afghanistan withdrawal. My hunch is this will lead to a direct war between Saudi Arabia and Iran sometime between the years 2023 and 2025.
Recap for 2021
Given the absolute crazy ride of 2021 in the United States, I wanted to highlight what I view as the five most pivotal singular events:
Why those events? If you put them together, it becomes rather clear the United States is on a downward spiral.
- The majority of country believes the elections were stolen. In response both sides attempted a “mostly peaceful” grab at power.
- The side which “won” now occupies the capital of the United States, with force
- The current ruling party of the United States just gave a massive strategic win to the United States greatest adversary
- The current ruling party is now solidifying power. Purging the military of the “right-wing” and “anti-vaxx“, locking down major cities by pushing out those opposing vaccines (49% right-wing vs 29% left-wing), etc. Currently, 30+% of the country cannot visit its largest cities.
There are other events: inflation (likely closer to 20%), “GameStop Rebellion“, China-Iran-Russia Alliance, etc. However, I would argue the most pressing threat is the consolidation of power and clear danger within United States. The United States appears on the cusp of dissolving.
Prior Predictions for 2022
Finally, it’s been two years since 2020 and a lot has happened, let’s review my prior prediction for 2022:
Government will start accessing Alexa, Google, Siri recordings and public will be made aware (2022)
I maintain that’ll likely happen. Frankly, I believe it may have already happened, as Apple is openly scanning photos (and video): In internal memo, Apple addresses concerns around new Photo scanning features (Hacker News)
It also appears China is looking at projecting power into the Atlantic: China Seeks First Military Base on Africa’s Atlantic Coast, U.S. Intelligence Finds, which is almost exactly inline with my 2023 prediction.
China will start using / building power projection in states it can, specifically to protect food chain, likely in Africa (2023)
New Predictions for 2022
Given the trends, here are my predictions for 2022:
- ✅ – Apr 29 – Food prices rise 50% over 2019 rate by the end of 2022
- ??? – Sep 9 (kinda) – Price controls are implemented
- ✅ – Feb 10 – Vaccine mandates spread to multiple states including: IL, CA, WA, NY, OR, North East 
- ✅ – Mar 1 – Ruling party declares “victory over COVID” (State of the Union 2022)
- ✅ – Jan 13 – SCOTUS rules conscientious objection must be allowed for any vaccine mandate
- ✅ – May 2 – SCOTUS rules in a way enabling abortion to be a state issue
- Republicans take house
- Republicans take senate
- Rep win: AZ, WI, GA, FL, NH, OH, NC, MO
- Dem win: CO, NV, PA
- Pelosi and McConnell both retire
- ✅ – Feb 21 – Russia takes control of Eastern Ukraine
- Syrian civil war ends
- Brazil enters civil war
- China initiates an invasion of Taiwan
- ✅ – Apr 18 – Fighting breaks out in Northern Iraq (likely Turkish in origin)
- Bitcoin breaks $100,000